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      1. 万融配资网

        结果出来了!参与新三板打新的投资者都悔死了!|新三板

        摘要: 原标题:结果出来了!参与新三板打新的投资者都悔死了! 来源:天下齐观刚刚过去的这周,是新三板精选层第一次打新的机会, 昨天结果公布了,让人大跌眼镜,可谓是有人欢喜有人愁,有人品 ...

        原标题:结果出来了!参与新三板打新的投资者都悔死了! 来源:天下齐观

        刚刚过去的这周,是新三板精选层第一次打新的机会, 昨天结果公布了,让人大跌眼镜,可谓是有人欢喜有人愁,有人品爆发的,就打了一手就中签了,也有人顶格申购,投了几百万,却一签没中。要知道,过去的这一周,整个股市上涨了5%。也就是说,拿几百万参与新三板打新的这些朋友,基本上错失了几十万的收益。即便那些中签的,也是如此,为了千八百的芝麻,最后丢掉了几万几十万的西瓜。老齐的朋友圈,粉丝群里,但凡参与新三板精选层打新的朋友,这周都很不开心。

        从首批颖泰生物和艾融软件的情况来看,由于打新极其火爆,合计冻结资金预估在1800亿元以上,中签率分别不超过千分之2和千分之1,也就是一千手才能中一签,按照发行价5.45和25.18元计算,颖泰生物中签需要几十万,而艾融软件则需要几百万。而这1800亿,也完美的错过了这周市场的大涨。

        熟悉老齐的人都知道,我一般是比较反对参与新三板精选层的打新的,新股不败,这个指的是主板市场,而新三板还能不能延续这个新股不败呢?有这么几个问题还需要解决。

        首先,就是流动性,新三板的准入门槛虽然从500万调降到了100万,但是要知道90%的股民其实都是50万以下的资金规模,100万的门槛,应该已经干掉了95%的投资者,当时科创板50万门槛的时候,就有人做统计,说一共也就300万投资者符合要求,那么现在新三板100万门槛,估计也就对应100万投资者,那也就意味着新三板这个市场,基本都是大户和机构,全都是镰刀,没有韭菜。新股发行之后,还能保持不败吗?这个很难说?别忘了前几年新三板的惨状,有的公司股价100多,结果有人抛售50万,就给股价干到了1块钱以下,这就是典型的缺乏流动性的症状。你好我好大家好的时候,皆大欢喜,但是一旦有人要跑,你会发现,市场根本没有承接力。500万降到100万,估计也增加不了多少投资者。

        其次,新三板精选层拿转板勾着大家,告诉你好公司可以转板出去,到科创板甚至创业板上市,但问题是人家那边,已经是注册制了,大家想没想过,如果一个公司能够上科创板,他何必不直接去呢?科创板投资门槛才50万,无论从流动性还是制度设计都要比新三板强不少。甚至再过几天直接上创业板也是可以的。那么他现在上不去,以后转板的概率有多大,这个要考虑。

        第三,以前大家玩新三板,是因为注册制稀缺,所以一下发了好几万家公司上来,结果上来之后发现完全没有流动性,新三板上市公司比投资者都快多了。于是就又想办法拯救,搞了一个精选层,就好比在垃圾堆里翻翻,看有什么还能吃的,老齐总是说,确实有可能找到一些肉,但是吃坏肚子的概率更大。原来只有新三板,现在科创板和创业板全是注册制,一些好公司,其实主动就会转到其他地方上市。所以还去新三板里翻垃圾,这个思路不可取。

        第四,精选层打新制度也不一样,申购股数最多不能超过1万股,而且跟主板不一样,主板是中签后再交钱,新三板是要先把钱放上去,需要提前冻结资金,这就会降低资金的使用效率,现在行情好了之后,会越来越多的人,不愿意这么干。锁定钱太多,时间也太长,相当于浪费了机会。所以慢慢也就冷下来了。

        第五,打新股其实也赚不了多少钱,大家总觉得打新股赚钱,你只算了绝对收益,好像一只股票20买的,上市翻倍,赚了好多,但其实你把它放到你的总资金里面就知道了,相当于大部分资金都闲置,只有少部分钱在工作,按照正常的主板打新概率,即便每只股票都翻倍,你全年的回报也不会超过8%。正常打新的收益,其实也就一年4-5%而已,由于新三板流动性不如主板,很可能还到不了这个数,所以其实非常低,远不如你随便拿一个股债组合更划算。

        第六,这么多年来,新股不败其实很不正常,未来一定会打破这个记录,至少在注册制改革之下,以及新股不再第一时间计入指数,这也会让打新股收益率越来越低。

        所以,综合来看,我们并不主张去打新股,特别是做新三板的打新,还是再观察观察比较好。之前发了几万家公司都无人问津,弄个精选层就一下成香饽饽了?这个事还有待观察。更何况现在市场已经起来了,你去打新股的机会成本也越来越大。为了那边几千块的收益,丢掉了几十万的上涨。实在有点得不偿失。

        英文阅读:

        Original title: The result came out! Participate in new 3 board make new investor regret died! Origin: The world is watched together

        Just go this week, it is new 3 board handpick layer first time makes new opportunity, the result was announced yesterday, let a person be surprised, it may be said is somebody jubilates somebody anxious, bearing erupts, called skill with respect to be the lucky number, also somebody carries case on the head explain buy, cast millions of, sign however in doing not have. Want to know, this a week in the past, whole stock market rose 5% . That is to say, take millions of participation new 3 board make these new friends, basically missed the profit of hundred thousands of. Even if of those be the lucky number, also be such, for the sesame seed of 1800, desertioned finally the tens of thousands of watermelon of hundred thousands of. Laoqi's friend is encircled, vermicelli made from bean starch group in, in every case is participated in new 3 board handpick layer makes new friend, this Zhou Dou very not happy.

        From the point of first clever peaceful biology and the circumstance of software of moxa be in harmony, because hit new extremely hot, total frozen capital beforehand appraise is in 180 billion yuan of above, rate of be the lucky number does not exceed thousand respectively 2 and thousand 1, sign in 1000 hands ability namely, by price of travel of issue as before 5.45 calculate with 25.18 yuan, be the lucky number of clever peaceful biology needs hundred thousands of, and software of moxa be in harmony needs millions of. And this 180 billion, perfect also those who missed this week of market is big go up.

        Be familiar with Laoqi's person to know, I am to object participating in quite commonly new 3 board of handpick layer hit new, new indefectible, this shows is advocate board the market, and new 3 board can you still continue this new indefectible? Have so a few problems still need to solve.

        Above all, it is fluidity, new 3 board although admittance doorsill fell from 5 million attune 1 million, but should knowing the shareholder of 90% is 500 thousand the following capital dimensions actually, the doorsill of 1 million, should already dry the investor of 95% , at that time division achieve board 500 thousand doorsill when, make count with respect to somebody, say altogether also accords with a requirement with respect to 3 million investor, so new now 3 board 1 million doorsill, estimation is corresponding also 1 million investor, that also is meant new 3 board this market, basic it is large family and orgnaization, all is hook, without leek. New after issueing, can you still keep indefectible? This very it's hard to say? Before forgetting a few years new 3 board miserable situation, some company share price 100 much, result somebody undersell 500 thousand, arrived to share price doing under a money, this is the typical symptom that lacks liquidity. Hello I am good when everybody is good, everyone is happy, but once somebody wants to run, you can discover, the market did not continue at all force. 5 million fall 1 million, estimation also cannot add how many investor.

        Next, new 3 board handpick layer is taken turn board ticking off everybody, tell you good company can turn board go out, to division achieve board do poineering work even board appear on the market, but the problem is a family there, had been to register made, everybody has thought, if a company can go up division achieve board, doesn't he go directly why? Division achieve board investment doorsill just 500 thousand, no matter be designed from fluidity or system,should compare new 3 board strong many. Even in a few more days is direct on do poineering work board also be possible. So he does not go on now, turn later board probability has how old, this wants a consideration.

        The 3rd, everybody plays previously new 3 board, because register,be make rare be short of, so one allot several 10 thousand companies come up, after the result comes up, discovery does not have fluidity completely, new 3 board appear on the market the company is much faster than investor. Think method is saved again then, did a handpick layer, be just like break up in rubbish dump, see those who what still can eat, laoqi always says, find a few flesh really likely, but the probability that takes bad gut is bigger. Have only so new 3 board, now division achieve board and do poineering work board it is to register completely make, a few good companies, can turn actively to other place to appear on the market actually. Still go so new 3 board in turn over rubbish, this train of thought is not desirable.

        The 4th, handpick layer makes new system different also, explain buy a number to cannot exceed 10 thousand at most, and with advocate board different, advocate board it is hind of be the lucky number makes money again, new 3 board it is to want to go up Qian Fang first, need shifts to an earlier date frozen capital, this can reduce the use efficiency of capital, after prices is good now, meet more and more people, do not be willing so dry. Lock deposit is too much, time is too long also, was equivalent to wasting an opportunity. So slowly cold also came down.

        The 5th, dozen new also cannot earn how many money actually, everybody always feels to hit new make money, you calculated very income only, be like a stock 20 buy, appear on the market turn over times, earned a lot of, but knew inside the total capital that actually you put it to you, be equivalent to major fund unused, only little part cash is working, according to normal advocate board call new probability, every stock turns over even if times, the redound of your annual also won't exceed 8% . Make new profit normally, actually also with respect to a year of 4-5% just, as a result of new 3 board fluidity is inferior to advocate board, return this number probably, so actually very low, far take casually as you a debt combination more be to one's profit.

        The 6th, so old come, new indefectible actually very abnormal, future can break this record certainly, be in at least register make reform under, and new no longer for a short while plan enter an index, this also can let hit new a yield is lower and lower.

        So, will integratedly look, we do not advocate go hitting new, do especially new 3 board dozen new, still observe observation has been compared again. Tens of thousands of company was sent before unmanned make inquires, do a handpick layer to become sweet pastry with respect to? This thing still remains to observe. More what is more,the rather that the market had risen now, you go hitting new opportunity cost is bigger and bigger also. For the thousands of accrual there, desertioned of hundred thousands of rise. The loss outweights the gain a bit really.

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